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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 4th, 2013–Jan 5th, 2013

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Temps are forecast to warm up on Saturday so watch for decreases in stability on steep solar aspects.  Lots of tracks out there right now, dont get "pushed" into an area you wouldnt normally go to due to high risk for a fresh line. 

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

Unfortunately, no new snow is in the forecast for the next few days.  Temperatures are expected to increase into the single digits so be prepared for some possible decreases in stability on steep solar aspects when these temperatures rise.  Moderate to strong NW winds will continue throughout the weekend.  There is a CHANCE for some precipitation to finally hit the region on Monday but Monday is still a long ways away.  Time to call in a favour or two with Ular.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanche activity was observed.

Snowpack Summary

1-3cm of HN24.  Widespread surface hoar growth below 2100m up to sz 10mm.  Upper snowpack continues to facet under the influence of cold temperatures.  Mid-pack still supportive and the 1106 rain crust (rc) is still evident at the base of the snowpack but unreactive in snowpack tests.  Height of snow is on average 140-160cm at treeline.

Problems

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.