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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 11th, 2015–Mar 12th, 2015

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kananaskis.

The warm weather is taking a toll on our snowpack. Ski quality is poor and avalanche hazard is expected to vary with the warm temperatures and sun. Not a great time to be out in avalanche terrain.

Confidence

Fair - Timing or intensity of solar radiation is uncertain on Friday

Weather Forecast

The warm weather will linger overnight. The freezing level will hover around 2000 for the next 24hrs. Tomorrow will be warm and windy with no new snow.

Avalanche Summary

Isolated loose wet avalanches were noted from steep solar aspects in the afternoon.

Snowpack Summary

The warm temperatures have started to have a sustained effect on the snowpack. By noon today, the valley bottom was moist and isothermal by mid-afternoon. Treeline and lower alpine elevations also have moist surface snow on all aspects. Southern aspects are suffering from the same soar effect, but the cloud cover has helped slow it down.

Problems

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.