Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Nov 15th, 2019–Nov 16th, 2019

Alpine

Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Treeline

Natural avalanches unlikely.

Below Treeline

Below Threshold.

Alpine

Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Treeline

Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Below Treeline

Below Threshold.

Alpine

Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Treeline

Natural avalanches unlikely.

Below Treeline

Below Threshold.

Regions

Jasper.

Some new snow is on the way at higher elevations

Weather Forecast

The atmospheric river arrives

Sat: Flurries with up to 6cm with gusting moderate SW winds

Sun: Flurries with up to 10cm with moderate SW winds gusting to strong. Freeze level: 1900m

Mon: Storm tapers with isolated flurries and back to a westerly and cooler temps.

A detailed forecast can be found from Avalanche Canada's, Mountain Weather Forecast.

Snowpack Summary

5-10 cm of snow sits above the recent November rain crust which goes as high as 2200m in the terrain. Total snow pack height in alpine is around 45-85 cm and sits on top of a variable weak basal crust from early October. A variety of surfaces can be found in the alpine from wind pressed/scoured features to wind slabs in the lee in the high alpine.

Avalanche Summary

A field team yesterday reported no new avalanches but signs of wind transport in the high alpine peaks and ridge tops.

Confidence

Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Saturday

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.