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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Apr 9th, 2013–Apr 10th, 2013

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Glacier.

Weather Forecast

Weak high pressure ridge being pushed out by a strong pacific frontal system by late this afternoon. Expect increasing cloud cover and rising freezing levels. Precipitation amounts forecast for this storm are variable, between 15 and 30mm by Wednesday night. Unsettled weather and light precipitation will linger on Thursday.

Snowpack Summary

Variable snow conditions in upper snowpack elevation dependant. 10-15cm firm crust on the surface below treeline over moist snow. Top 10cm is wind affected at treeline and alpine elevations. Profile at 2090m, SE aspect, 36 degrees showed easy, sudden planar test results down 9cm on surface hoar and moderate results down 25cm below a 15cm crust.

Avalanche Summary

Yesterday: 4 natural slab avalanches, all size 2.0,  east of the Rogers Pass summit on north facing terrain. From 2 days ago, size 3.0 natural slab avalanche in Youngs Peak Basin and a skier triggered size 2.0 off of Youngs Peak Headwall.

Confidence

Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Wednesday

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.