Dashboard Regions Weather Stations Radar Alerts Glossary
Contact About
Log In

Register for an account and never miss a forecast again!

Register

Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 14th, 2017–Feb 15th, 2017

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.

Regions

Glacier.

Freezing levels are forecast to climb into the alpine today.  Avoid sun exposed slopes this afternoon.

Weather Forecast

A mix of sun and cloud today with Southerly winds to 25km/h and freezing level clocking in as high as 2400m depending on the chosen forecast.  Wednesday a warm Pacific frontal system should reach us bringing upwards of 35cm by storm's end Friday.  Elevated freezing levels around 1800m. Winds will be light gusting to strong from the SW.

Snowpack Summary

Last week's storm snow is settling, however weak layers have still been observed 25cm and 60cm down. A surface crust has formed on steeper solar aspects and likely all areas below 1400m. Freezing levels rise to 2400m today along with potential for strong solar input. Cornices could fail from warming today and loose moist avalanches are likely.

Avalanche Summary

Only one small avalanche observed on the solar aspect of Mt Tupper yesterday. We should see steep solar aspects wake up today with moist surface avalanche activity from daytime warming and solar input.

Confidence

Freezing levels are uncertain

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.