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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Nov 25th, 2018–Nov 26th, 2018

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.

Regions

Jasper.

Snowfall amounts for Monday afternoon into Tuesday are uncertain but may be enough to increase the danger rating.

Weather Forecast

Monday will be flurries yet models are not agreeing on the snow amounts with predictions of 0-12cm. Alpine temperatures will be -4 C and increasing SW winds. Click here for the Avalanche Canada mountain weather forecast.

Snowpack Summary

10-15cm of low density snow sits over a firm mid pack consisting mainly of facets. The primary layer of concern continues to be the October 25 crust 0-40cm off the ground. This crust is most prevalent in deeper snowpack areas predominately on N-NE lee features. Faceting above and below this layer continue to weaken the lower snowpack.

Avalanche Summary

No patrol Sunday and nothing new reported. Saturday's Hy 93 patrol reported no new avalanche activity. No natural activity has been observed in the last 5 days.

Confidence

Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain on Tuesday

Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.