Avalanche forecast

Olympics

Northwest Avalanche Center
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Avalanche danger

Tue
Alpine
2 · Moderate
Treeline
1 · Low
Below
1 · Low
Out of date — this forecast expired 4 years ago. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Highlights

In upper-elevation terrain, wind slabs are becoming less likely and more stubborn to trigger. Use caution in terrain where triggering a small avalanche would be consequential. 

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1–1.5

    If you're headed to upper elevations on Monday, you'll still want to use caution on steep lee slopes directly below ridgelines.  You're most likely to find stiffer wind-drifted snow on NW-SE aspects. These are the same aspects that are less likely to have a thin surface crust.  With wind slabs becoming less likely and more stubborn to trigger, it's less about seeing red flag signs of instability, like shooting cracks and recent avalanches, and understanding the consequences of triggering an avalanche in the wrong piece of terrain.  If you're traveling above cliff bands or in rocky chutes, understand that in these specific terrain pieces, even a small avalanche could cause injury or worse.  Steer around smooth pillow-like drifts and slopes directly below recently formed cornices to minimize your chances of triggering an avalanche.   

    With southerly winds ticking up a notch Monday, keep an eye out for blowing snow and the potential for thin new shallow wind slabs on the same lee aspects. 

    (12/29/2021)

    Wind textured surfaces show signs of recent wind transport. Use clues like this to anticipate and steer around steep wind-loaded slopes on the ridgelines below. 

    Photo: Sam Luthy

Avalanche Discussion

What a way to bring in 2023, sunshine, pleasant temperatures and light winds at Hurricane Ridge.  The snow stayed light on shady aspects and moistened on sunnier slopes, breaking down a thin surface crust during the day.  No avalanches were observed Sunday, but the snow tried to move downhill with small rollerballs observed in the afternoon. 

Above about 4800' in sheltered areas, you'll find 10-15" of settled snow above the Christmas crust.  The recent snow is bonding well to the Christmas crust and there are no concerns in the lower and mid-snowpack.    

Continue to use care at lower elevations, early season travel remains in effect for thickly treed areas and low elevations in general following the atmospheric river event over Christmas.

Regions covered