Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Feb 16th, 2017 3:37PM
The alpine rating is Storm Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeSummary
Confidence
Moderate - Freezing levels are uncertain
Weather Forecast
FRIDAY: Light flurries along the coast, light west winds, freezing level dropping to 500 m with alpine temperatures around -6 C.SATURDAY: Mix of sun and cloud, light southeast wind, alpine temperatures around -8 C.SUNDAY: Mix of sun and cloud, light southeast wind, alpine temperatures around -8 C.
Avalanche Summary
Due to stormy weather, avalanche observations over the past few days have been limited. New snow and wind have created potent yet relatively short-term surface instabilities, with a few reports of size 1 skier-triggered avalanches on small wind loaded slopes. At lower elevations where precipitation fell as rain, widespread loose wet avalanches to size 2 were also reported. As the storm clears, there will be a fair bit of uncertainty regarding how the storm loading and warm temperatures have affected the reactivity of deeper weaknesses. I'd remain conservative in my terrain selection for the immediate future.
Snowpack Summary
The region received another 10-20 cm of new snow on Thursday, adding to the healthy amounts of storm snow from last weekend. Strong winds likely shifted these accumulations into much deeper deposits at higher elevations. Below about 1000 m, rain has saturated and settled the snowpack. Beneath 70-100 cm of recent storm snow, you'll find a variety of old surfaces that were buried on February 10th. These include facets, sun crusts on steep solar aspects, and well-developed surface hoar in sheltered locations. This interface has been reported to be most reactive at treeline where the surface hoar has been well-preserved. Below this layer, the snowpack is generally strong and well settled. The exceptions are areas around Bear Pass and Ningunsaw where basal facets remain an ongoing concern, especially in shallow snowpack areas.
Problems
Storm Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Feb 17th, 2017 2:00PM