Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 16th, 2012 9:24AM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is low, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs.

Avalanche Canada jlammers, Avalanche Canada

Summary

Confidence

Fair - Intensity of incoming weather is uncertain on Friday

Weather Forecast

Friday: 8-12cm of snow arriving late in the day and continuing overnight / moderate to strong southwest winds / freezing level at 1200m Saturday: Light snowfall / light and variable winds / freezing level at 1100m Sunday: Trace amounts of snow / moderate southwesterly winds / freezing level at 800m

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanche activity has been reported.

Snowpack Summary

In general the snowpack is well bonded in most locations. Light amounts of recently fallen snow sit over an assortment of old snow surfaces comprising, depending on location, crusts, old wind slab, surface hoar and surface facets. The crusts formed on all aspects below 1700m and on steep solar aspects higher up. Surface facets have grown particularly on northern aspects where colder temperatures have persisted. Lightly buried surface hoar is most prominent at treeline and below. The upper snowpack structure will be the thing to watch as the overlying slab develops with forecast weather. A recent profile at 1240m on a south aspect in the Coquihalla area showed a number of sudden test results in the top 100cm. Conditions reportedly improved substantially on other aspects. This is a good reminder that spatial variability exists and that we should continually make observations as we travel.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs
Wind slabs will most likely develop over the course of Friday on lee features. With the current snowpack structure, and forecast winds, they will touchy.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Feb 17th, 2012 9:00AM