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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Apr 13th, 2013–Apr 14th, 2013
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: South Coast.

Confidence

Fair - Due to limited field observations

Weather Forecast

Sunday: Expect mostly cloudy skies, with a chance of flurries.  Alpine temperatures should reach around -6 with freezing levels at 1400m and light northeasterly winds.Monday/Tuesday: Expect a clearing trend with scattered clouds, alpine temperatures reaching -5 and light northeasterly winds becoming gusty in the afternoons.

Avalanche Summary

Avalanche observations have been limited in the last few days. We do have a report of a skier triggered event from the Duffey area: see the link below to the incident database.

Snowpack Summary

10-25cm of new snow has fallen at higher elevations accompanied by light to locally moderate south/southwest winds creating new windslabs in lee locations at treeline and in the alpine. The interface of the new snow is predominantly crusts (sun, wind, meltfreeze) and the bonds are poor in some locations.The previous storm (Wednesday) was accompanied by moderate to strong south/southwest winds which left variable snow distribution in exposed areas near ridgetop with dense wind slabs forming in lee and cross-loaded features. These slabs are now buried, but may still be reactive to heavy triggers or in specific locations. Up to 75cm below the surface you will likely find a melt-freeze crust from previous sunny weather. At the same interface, spotty surface hoar is still being reported in some high, north facing slopes.Cornices are huge and have grown new tabs under the current conditions.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

New windslabs have formed in immediate lee locations and the storm snow may bond poorly to underlying crusts. In isolated terrain, storm snow avalanches may step down to a crust or surface hoar buried last week.
Dig down to find and test weak layers before committing to a line.>Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 5

Cornices

Recent snow and wind has added mass to existing  cornices.
Give cornices a wide berth when travelling on or below ridges.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 6