Avalog
Register
Get forecast notifications
Create an account to receive email notifications when forecasts are published.
Register
Login
Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Feb 3rd, 2019–Feb 4th, 2019
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: Little Yoho.

Increased reactivity of the Jan 17 surface hoar/crust layer is due to recent loading of storm snow. Distribution is spotty, so dig down to verify if this layer is present in your local area.

Weather Forecast

Thankfully, today is forecasted to be the coldest day. Temperatures will climb back to a somewhat reasonable level by tomorrow to about the -18 range in the valley. A clearing trend will ensue, and the wind will drop back to light from the West. No snow is forecasted for a while.

Snowpack Summary

30-45cm of recent storm snow is being redistributed into windslabs above treeline.  In locations up to 2200m a thin but reactive layer of surface hoar (Jan 17) and/or crust is found down 60-70cm. The mid and lower snowpack have few weaknesses, however concern remains for the weak facets below the Dec 10 interface in shallow areas.

Avalanche Summary

No avalanches reported or observed today, however yesterday there were two skier accidental avalanches size 1.5. One was on Vermillion Peak (reported on the MIN) the other was at Bow Summit. Both were suspected to have slid on the Jan 17 Surface Hoar. No injuries or lost gear in either slide.

Confidence

Due to the number of field observations on Sunday

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind was observed redistributing the recent storm snow in the alpine and creating fresh windslabs in lee areas. These slabs could be up to 70cm deep. For clarity, the storm slab problem has transitioned into the windslab problem.
Use caution in lee areas. Recent wind loading have created wind slabs.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2.5

Persistent Slabs

The Jan 17 layer is a combination of Surface Hoar and/or a melt freeze crust. Since the recent storm, it has become reactive to skier traffic and can generally be found down 65cm. Dig down, look and test this layer at tree line and below.
Avoid open slopes and convex rolls at and below treeline where buried surface hoar may be preserved.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Treeline, Below Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2