Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Dec 16th, 2021 4:00PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Persistent Slabs and Wind Slabs.

Catherine Brown,

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Cool alpine temperatures and short days call for early starts and extra warm layers.

Summary

Weather Forecast

A ridge of high pressure on Friday will give way to a weekend frontal system bringing snow to our region.

Tonight: Clear with cloudy periods, Alp temp -19*C, light NW winds

Fri: Mix of sun and cloud, Alp high -12*C, light SW winds

Sat: Periods of snow, 18cm, Alp high -12*C, mod SW winds

Snowpack Summary

Cooling temperatures will facet the new snow from the start of the week and break down wind slabs. Lingering wind slabs created by weekend extreme S'ly winds exist in exposed, Alpine and Tree-line features. These will be buried by ~15cm of loose dry snow. The Dec 1 crust is ~10cm thick at 1900m, buried by ~1m and found up to 2300m

Avalanche Summary

No new natural avalanches were observed along the highway corridor on Thursday, visibility was limited.

On Wednesday, 5 artillery rounds produced 1, size 2 avalanche from a steep, N facing start zone off Mt. Macdonald.

A MIN report on Tuesday described a wind slab in the alpine on lee features reacting to a skier load.

Confidence

Due to the number of field observations

Problems

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

The Dec 1st crust is buried by 40-80 cm of snow. Be especially cautious in thinner snowpack areas, where it is more likely to be skier triggered. The crust is most reactive at tree line, but it is present below tree line and in the lower alpine.

  • Carefully evaluate terrain features by digging and testing on adjacent, safe slopes.
  • Avoid steep convexities or areas with a thin or variable snowpack.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

1.5 - 3

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Extreme weekend winds have created wind slabs. Expect variable distribution of these slabs, from lee features to further down slope then expected. These slabs are buried by 15 cm of new snow.

  • Be careful with wind loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and roll-overs.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2.5

Valid until: Dec 17th, 2021 4:00PM