Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 3rd, 2023 2:30PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Deep Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada mkoppang, Avalanche Canada

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Winds over the past 24hrs have been intense out of the west making windslabs more reactive in alpine areas and stripping windward slopes to bare rock.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

A few new sz 2 windslabs were observed along the smith dorrien on Wednesday. They looked to be on average 20cm thick. They were on all aspects but mainly initiating from thinner snowpack areas.

Snowpack Summary

Watch for windslabs in alpine areas as a result of strong winds over the past few days Where the snowpack is thin these are the places wherein a skier may trigger the weak basal facets. As the snowpack above the weaker base has become more cohesive the potential for wide propagation increases. This will be a common theme this winter and you should always be thinking about consequences of an avalanche. Wind slabs may also cause the weak base to fail. Its a tough snowpack this year and unfortunately, it isn't likely to change much this season.

Ice climbers in the Ghost and front ranges should watch for pockets of windslabs along routes that may be triggered.

Weather Summary

A few cms of snow is forecast along the Spray but accumulations are not expected to be significant. Temperatures will cool slightly with -6C at treeline elevations during the day with strong winds continuing out of the SW. There is a chance for some snow next week looking way off into the forecast.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Avoid shallow, rocky areas where the snowpack transitions from thick to thin.
  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Be aware of the potential for surprisingly large avalanches due to deeply buried weak layers.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Strong winds over the past few days has made windslabs in the upper snowpack more reactive.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely - Very Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Deep Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Deep Persistent Slabs

Thin areas are where this layer will be easiest to trigger. Be thinking about wide propagations as the snowpack above is more cohesive than before.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

2 - 3

Valid until: Feb 5th, 2023 4:00PM