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Avalanche Forecast

Dec 1st, 2017–Dec 2nd, 2017
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: North Columbia.

New snow and wind on Friday and overnight is expected to create touchy storm slabs that are reactive to human triggers. Be especially cautious in wind exposed terrain at treeline and above.

Confidence

Low - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

FRIDAY/NIGHT: 10-20 cm new snow expected by Saturday morning / Moderate to strong southwesterly ridgetop winds.SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy with isolated flurries / Light to moderate southwesterly ridgetop winds / Freezing level lowering to valley bottom.SUNDAY: Mix of sun and cloud / Light to moderate westerly ridgetop winds / Freezing level valley bottom.MONDAY: Mix of sun and cloud / Light to moderate westerly ridgetop winds / Freezing level valley bottom.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches were reported in this region on Thursday. This may speak more to a lack of observations rather than actual conditions. Please submit your observations to the Mountain Information Network (MIN).

Snowpack Summary

Between 30 and 45cm of new snow has fallen in the past few days. I'd expect reactive storm slabs to exist in wind-exposed terrain or in places where the recent storm snow has a weak bond with a crust which formed in late November and can be found around 60cm below the surface.Another feature in the snowpack is a 3-5 cm thick crust which was formed around Halloween and can be found approximately 100cm down at treeline elevations. This layer is generally stubborn to trigger; however, I'd be increasingly cautious of it in the north of the region where it may remain reactive. The depth of the snowpack varies greatly with elevation. Recent reports suggest the average depth is 200+cm in the alpine, 100-180cm at treeline, and decreasing rapidly below treeline where the primary hazards are rocks, stumps, and open creeks. We currently have very limited snowpack observations within this region and it is critical to supplement this information with your own observations.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

New snow and wind on Friday/night is expected to create touchy storm slabs that are reactive to human triggers. Be especially cautious in wind exposed terrain at treeline and above.
Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.The new snow may require several days to settle and stabilize.Watch for signs of instability such as whumpfing, cracking, or recent natural avalanches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2