Avalanche Forecast

Moderate - Uncertainty is due to field data and reports showing a wide variation in conditions throughout the region.

FRIDAY NIGHT: 2 to 6 cm of snow, moderate west wind, freezing level near valley bottom.

SATURDAY: Broken cloud cover, no significant precipitation expected, moderate north/northwest wind, freezing level beginning near valley bottom, rising to around 800 m.  

SUNDAY: Broken cloud cover in the morning giving way to scattered cloud cover in the afternoon, no significant precipitation expected, light northeast wind, freezing level beginning near valley bottom, rising to around 1200 m in the afternoon. 

MONDAY: Clear skies at dawn with cloud cover increasing to broken after lunch, potential for some light flurries/rain in the afternoon, moderate south wind, freezing level beginning near valley bottom, rising to around 1000 m in the afternoon. 

Observations were a bit thin on Thursday, but this MIN sums it up very well. Up to 50 cm of new snow producing audible avalanches in big terrain, and smaller storm slabs in more moderate terrain.

On Wednesday, a few large wind slabs up to size 3 as well as several storm slabs to size 2 were triggered with explosives. Several small natural dry loose avalanches were reported, as well as a large (size 2.5) cornice failure. Skiers triggered several small wind slab avalanches in the alpine. 

20-50 cm of new snow adds to the 30-60 cm of recent snow, which overlies a hard melt-freeze crust. The previous snow surface was wind affected and in some wind-exposed areas the wind had scoured the snow down to the crust. 

Around 100 cm down, a layer of weak snow (facets or surface hoar) has been occasionally reported in sheltered areas. The distribution of this layer has been reported as isolated and is likely not a problem in many areas.

Cornices are very large and exposure to them should be minimized, especially during warm or windy weather.

• Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
• Keep in mind the crust offers an excellent bed surface for avalanches.
• Even brief periods of direct sun could produce natural avalanches.
• Use extra caution around cornices: they are large, fragile, and can trigger slabs on slopes below.