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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Mar 14th, 2021–Mar 15th, 2021
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: South Coast.

Recently formed slabs could be triggered by riders. Use caution around cornices and on sun-exposed slopes with solar warming potential.

Confidence

High -

Weather Forecast

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clearing, 10 to 20 km/h west wind, treeline temperature -7 C.

MONDAY: Mostly clear skies, 20 km/h northeast wind, treeline temperature -5 C, freezing level 800 m.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy, 20 km/h west wind, treeline temperature -2 C, freezing level 900 m.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy, 20 to 40 km/h south wind, treeline temperature 0 C, freezing level 1500 m.

Avalanche Summary

We haven't yet received word of avalanche activity from Sunday's storm, but it is likely that storm slabs and wind slabs were triggerable. Perhaps we will hear of observations once the skies clear on Monday. Looking forward, storm and wind slabs could still be triggered by riders on Monday. Sun-exposed slopes and cornices will also weaken during daytime warming.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 20 cm of snow fell above 1200 m on Sunday, which likely formed storm slabs in sheltered terrain and wind slabs in leeward features in exposed terrain from strong south to east wind. The snow overlies moist snow or a melt-freeze crust in most areas except at high elevation northerly aspects where it sits on wind-affected dry snow. Below around 1200 m, the snow surface is wet or has frozen into a thick melt-freeze crust. Cornices have been reported as being massive and fragile on ridgelines.

Terrain and Travel

  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Look for signs of instability: whumphing, hollow sounds, shooting cracks, and recent avalanches.
  • A moist or wet snow surface, pinwheeling and natural avalanches are all indicators of a weakening snowpack.
  • Extra caution is needed around cornices under the current conditions.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

Around 10 to 20 cm of snow fell above around 1200 m on Sunday, forming storm slabs in sheltered terrain and wind slabs in exposed lee features. These slabs may still be reactive to riders on Monday. Below 1200 m, expect to find wet snow or hard melt-freeze crust.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Cornices

Cornices may weaken when the sun is shining. Also use caution on sun-exposed slopes during the heat of the day.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 3