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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 28th, 2025–Jan 29th, 2025
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold

New wind slabs need time to settle and bond.

Keep in mind a buried weak layer exists and there is the potential for large avalanches.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

A few small and large (size 1 to 2) natural avalanches were reported on Monday on northeast alpine slopes.

It has been a while since a persistent slab avalanche has been reported, however, with new load (snow) on the weak layer it is uncertain if it will become active again. Test results and whumpfing indicate the layer is weak and unstable.

Snowpack Summary

10 to 20 cm of new snow fell on Monday and Tuesday. Expect lesser amounts of new snow the further east you go. It came with strong southwest wind which built slabs on lee slopes and scoured exposed areas back to old, hard layers.

A weak layer of facets and a crust from early December is buried 50 to 100 cm deep. This layer exists on all aspects up to around 1700 m.

Weather Summary

Tuesday Night

Partly cloudy with 1 to 2 cm of snow. 10 km/h southeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -10 °C.

Wednesday

A mix of sun and clouds with 5 to 10 cm of snow. 20 to 40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -10°C.

Thursday

A mix of sun and clouds with 5 to 10 cm of snow. 15 km/h south then north ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -18 °C.

Friday

A mix of sun and clouds. 20 to 60 km/h north ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -22 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Make conservative terrain choices and avoid overhead hazard.
  • Avoid freshly wind-loaded terrain features.
  • Be aware of the potential for large avalanches due to buried weak layers.
  • If triggered, wind slabs avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.

Avalanche Problems

Persistent Slabs

The early December weak layer may still be triggered in shallow, thin-to-thick areas, or with large loads like a cornice or avalanche.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 2 - 3.5

Wind Slabs

Strong wind and new snow have built slabs in lee terrain features. Avoid wind loaded spots.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2