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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 13th, 2019–Jan 14th, 2019
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: Little Yoho.

The Little Yoho region has seen an improving trend in thicker snowpack areas. The uncertainty lies in places where the snowpack is thin.

Weather Forecast

Continued warm temperatures with increasing cloud is expected tomorrow. No precipitation is anticipated until the end of next week. Some of the models show a mild temperature inversion. Additionally, the wind is expected to reach the moderate to strong velocity range from the west.

Snowpack Summary

Snowfall since Jan2 has been redistributed by southwest winds yielding extensive wind effect in the alpine. In thick snowpack areas, the Dec 10th weak layer of facets is now down 100-150cm with a stronger snowpack below. In thin snowpack areas, there is little separation between Dec 10 and the weak depth hoar/ facets sitting 40 cm above the ground.

Avalanche Summary

No avalanches observed or reported in Little Yoho today.

Confidence

Due to the quality of field observations on Sunday

Avalanche Problems

Persistent Slabs

The Dec.10 layer of facets and some surface hoar are down 130+cm at treeline in the fatter snowpack areas more typical in this region. The sensitivity of this layer seems more concerning at lower elevations but few observations have been made so far
Convex features and steep unsupported slopes will be most prone to triggering.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 3.5

Wind Slabs

Moderate to strong SW winds have moved a significant amount of snow over the last three days. Expect widespread wind effect in the alpine and get your guard up as you enter open areas at treeline.
If triggered the wind slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2