Avalanche Forecast

Moderate - Uncertainty is due to the speed, direction, or duration of the wind and its effect on the snowpack.

An arctic front will create outflow conditions over the weekend until the next Pacific frontal system arrives on Monday.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Cloudy, moderate northeast wind, temperatures drop to -15 C.

SATURDAY: Mix of sun and cloud, moderate to strong northeast wind, high temperatures around -10 C.

SUNDAY: Mix of sun and cloud, moderate to strong northeast wind, high temperatures around -10 C.

MONDAY: Frontal system arrives with 5-10 cm of snow, strong southwest wind, high temperatures around -8 C.

A MIN report from Wednesday shows some small wind slab avalanches on northeast slopes in the Tutshi area. This activity is indicative of the type of avalanches that are possible this weekend, although with shifting winds they are now possible on all aspects. 

You may also still find evidence of large avalanches that occurred during the big storm at the beginning of December, but these old storm slabs are no longer a problem.

15-30 cm of low density snow has been blowing around over the past few days, and will likely get redistributed with outflow winds over the weekend. Sparse reports suggest this snow is bonding well to old interfaces including a widespread crust. This crust has been reported up to 1400 m in the Wheaton Valley, up to 1800 m near the AK border, but was not evident between 1400-1700 m in the Tutshi area. The main concern over the weekend is fresh wind slabs forming above these crusts.

The lower snowpack is generally settled and strong after a massive storm at the beginning of December. However, there is potential for weak snow at the bottom of the snowpack in colder drier areas such as the Wheaton Valley. We have minimal data from these areas, but recommend extra caution around shallow rocky slopes in thinner snowpack areas.

• Watch for wind-loaded pockets especially around ridgecrest and in extreme terrain.
• Be aware of highly variable recent wind loading patterns.
• Avoid shallow, rocky areas where the snowpack transitions from thick to thin.