Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Dec 17th, 2020 4:00PM
The alpine rating is , the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems include Storm Slabs and Persistent Slabs.
dsaly,
Avalanche Canada
Avalanche hazard will increase into the weekend as storm snow accumulates. With ongoing slab development over weak surface hoar, conservative terrain choices are recommended.
Summary
Confidence
Moderate - Uncertainty is due to the track & intensity of the incoming weather system.
Weather Forecast
THURSDAY NIGHT - Isolated flurries, up to 5 cm / southwest wind, 20-40 km/h / alpine high temperature near -6
FRIDAY - Flurries, 10-20 cm / southwest wind, 20-50 km/h / alpine high temperature near -7
SATURDAY - Snow, 10-30 cm / southwest wind, 20-50 km/h / alpine high temperature near -4
SUNDAY - Snow, 5-15 cm / southwest wind, 30-60 km/h / alpine high temperature near -1
Avalanche Summary
Small storm and wind slabs continued to be reactive underfoot/sled on Thursday. Explosives triggers avalanches to size 2 along ridgelines and with good connectivity.
On Wednesday, small storm and wind slabs showed reactivity on predictable, loaded features on the Dec 7 surface hoar/curst. Explosives and skiers triggered size 1-1.5 slab avalanches on more north and east aspects above 2000 m. With the most reactivity, a small (size 1) avalanche was triggered remotely by a vehicle traveling along an exposed ridgeline.Â
On Tuesday, small (size 1-1.5) storm slab avalanches were triggered by explosives and skier traffic on East, North, and West aspects above 2000 m; average depth 5-25 cm.Â
Snowpack Summary
Ongoing flurries and snow has accumulated 30-50 cm fresh snow around the region. This new snow has buried a weak layer of surface hoar in many areas. This new snow combined with southwest winds has formed reactive slabs, especially at higher elevations.Â
A weak layer that was buried in early December is now down 40-60 cm. This layer is variable and has been reported to exist as either a crust or surface hoar. In any case, it is a persistent weak layer with a significant load above it now, and it may react easily to human triggers.
Another crust that was buried in early November can be found near the base of the snowpack. There have been no recent avalanches reported on this layer, however it may be possible to trigger it from shallow, rocky terrain.
Terrain and Travel
- Watch for signs of instability like whumpfing, hollow sounds, shooting cracks or recent avalanches.
- Avoid freshly wind loaded terrain features.
- Start with conservative lines and watch for clues of instability.
- As the storm slab problem gets trickier, the easy solution is to choose more conservative terrain.
Problems
Storm Slabs
Intermittent snow and flurries continue to stack up, 20-40 cm fresh snow overlies a layer of surface hoar. Reactive slabs have formed in the storm snow, expect to find increasingly reactive slabs as storm snow accumulates, especially in wind-loaded areas.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Persistent Slabs
A weak layer of surface hoar or crust layer from early December is now down 40-80 cm. Storm slab avalanches may easily step down to this layer, with surprising propagation.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Dec 18th, 2020 4:00PM
