Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Jan 14th, 2023 4:00PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Deep Persistent Slabs and Wind Slabs.

Avalanche Canada JM, Avalanche Canada

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Potential for small avalanches in the wind slab to step down to the Deep Persistent Weak Layers.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Large avalanches have been observed in the west side of Jasper. No new avalanches were observed by the field team in Maligne on Friday.

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Snowpack Summary

Freezing levels are starting to drop leaving a crust below tree line. The alpine and open tree line terrain is wind affected. Large facets and depth hoar comprise most of the snowpack. The snowpack varies from 50-85cm in depth and is unsupportive.

Weather Summary

Sunday

Cloudy with sunny periods.

Precipitation: Nil.

Alpine temperature: High -3 °C.

Ridge wind south: 10 km/h.

Freezing level: 1000 metres.

Monday

A mix of sun and cloud.

Precipitation: Nil.

Alpine temperature: Low -7 °C, High -5 °C.

Ridge wind south: 20-35 km/h.

Freezing level: 1400 metres.

Tuesday

A mix of sun and cloud.

Precipitation: Nil.

Alpine temperature: Low -9 °C, High -8 °C.

Ridge wind southwest: 20-40 km/h.

Freezing level: 1200 metres.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Make conservative terrain choices and avoid overhead hazard.
  • A moist or wet snow surface, pinwheeling and natural avalanches are all indicators of a weakening snowpack.

Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Deep Persistent Slabs

The bottom of the snow pack is inherently weak with well developed Facets and Depth Hoar. Avalanches initiating in the upper snowpack are likely to step down to this layer and gain significant mass.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

1.5 - 3

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Aspects: North, North East, East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Jan 15th, 2023 4:00PM

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