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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 14th, 2023–Jan 15th, 2023
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Brazeau, Maligne, Marmot, Pyramid.

Potential for small avalanches in the wind slab to step down to the Deep Persistent Weak Layers.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Large avalanches have been observed in the west side of Jasper. No new avalanches were observed by the field team in Maligne on Friday.

If you're out in the hills, don't forget to post to the MIN. Every bit of information helps!

Snowpack Summary

Freezing levels are starting to drop leaving a crust below tree line. The alpine and open tree line terrain is wind affected. Large facets and depth hoar comprise most of the snowpack. The snowpack varies from 50-85cm in depth and is unsupportive.

Weather Summary

Sunday

Cloudy with sunny periods.

Precipitation: Nil.

Alpine temperature: High -3 °C.

Ridge wind south: 10 km/h.

Freezing level: 1000 metres.

Monday

A mix of sun and cloud.

Precipitation: Nil.

Alpine temperature: Low -7 °C, High -5 °C.

Ridge wind south: 20-35 km/h.

Freezing level: 1400 metres.

Tuesday

A mix of sun and cloud.

Precipitation: Nil.

Alpine temperature: Low -9 °C, High -8 °C.

Ridge wind southwest: 20-40 km/h.

Freezing level: 1200 metres.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Make conservative terrain choices and avoid overhead hazard.
  • A moist or wet snow surface, pinwheeling and natural avalanches are all indicators of a weakening snowpack.

Avalanche Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

The bottom of the snow pack is inherently weak with well developed Facets and Depth Hoar. Avalanches initiating in the upper snowpack are likely to step down to this layer and gain significant mass.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1.5 - 3

Wind Slabs

Aspects: North, North East, East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2