Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 19th, 2025 4:00PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is low, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Loose Dry and Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada Parks Canada, Avalanche Canada

Email

The weather pattern is changing and snow is on the way!

As the storm builds avalanche hazard will increase.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Frequent Flyer in Connaught Creek ran Monday afternoon, size 2, across the skin track, burying ~15-20m of the uptrack up to 50cm deep. Trigger was likely strong solar radiation at ~1pm.

Several loose/dry avalanches up to sz 1 were noted from solar aspects in the hwy corridor during peak hours of strong sunshine.

Neighbouring operations, particularly to the west, are still reporting rider & remote triggered avalanches on the Jan 30th layer.

Snowpack Summary

5-10cm of new snow sits on a faceted, variable hardness upper snowpack.

A weak layer of surface hoar, facets and/or suncrust (Jan 30th) is 20-50cm down. This layer failed easily in snowpack tests at 1700m on the Smart paths. Watch out when this layer gets overloaded!

The Jan 7th layer is down 50-80 and is decomposed surface hoar or a thin crust on South and West aspects. This layer has been inactive recently.

Weather Summary

An active weather pattern is developing with a juicy storm on the horizon.

Tonight Cloudy with flurries, Snow: 4cm . Alpine low -7°C. Ridge winds SW 15km/hr

Thurs Cloudy with isolated flurries. Alp high -6°C. Ridge wind SW 20km/h. FZL 1500m.

Fri Flurries. 8cm. Alp high -6°C. Ridge wind SW 25-40km/h. FZL 1500m.

Sat Snow 20 cms. Alp high -5°C. Ridge wind SW 30 gusting 65 Freezing level (FZL) rising to 1300m.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Be careful with sluffing in steep terrain, especially above cliffs and terrain traps.
  • Avoid steep, sun-exposed slopes when the air temperature is warm or when solar radiation is strong.
  • Back off if you encounter whumpfing, hollow sounds, or shooting cracks.

Problems

Loose Dry

An icon showing Loose Dry

New snow and facets make up the upper snowpack. As the incoming light snow slowly builds up, it won't take much of a disturbance to initiate a loose avalanche in steep terrain. Manage your sluff accordingly!

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

20-50cms of snow overlays a buried persistent weak layer. This weak layer consists of surface hoar, facets and/or a suncrust. It will be most reactive where there is a settled, cohesive slab on top of a crust.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2.5

Valid until: Feb 20th, 2025 4:00PM

Login