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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 31st, 2025–Feb 1st, 2025
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

The incoming storm is driving the avalanche danger.

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Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

The new snow will be very reactive this weekend. Expect storm slabs anywhere deeper deposits have formed and fast-moving dry loose avalanches in steep terrain. Natural avalanches are possible on wind-loaded slopes.

Snowpack Summary

Flurries on Saturday will bring storm totals to 10 to 25 cm, with deeper deposits in wind-loaded areas. The new snow will likely bond poorly to old surfaces, which include melt-freeze crusts on sun-exposed slopes, surface hoar or facets on shaded slopes, and wind-affected snow at higher elevations. Some areas also have slightly deeper surface hoar layers that have not yet been loaded by a slab (20 to 30 cm deep).

A weak layer of facets from early December is buried 50 to 100 cm deep, or as shallow as 30 cm near Invermere. While recently inactive, this layer could reawaken with heavy loading or warming.

The base of the snowpack consists of a thick crust with facets or depth hoar in many areas.

Weather Summary

Friday Night

Cloudy with 5 to 10 cm of snow. 30 to 50 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -6 °C.

Saturday

Mostly cloudy with 0 to 5 cm of snow. 30 to 50 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -10 °C.

Sunday

Mix of sun and cloud with 0 to 3 cm of snow. 10 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -10 °C.

Monday

Mix of sun and cloud with 0 to 2 cm of snow. 10 km/h southeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -15 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Use conservative route selection. Choose simple, low angle terrain with no overhead hazard.
  • Avoid freshly wind-loaded terrain features.
  • Be aware of the potential for remote triggering and large avalanches due to buried surface hoar.
  • Dial back your terrain choices if you are seeing more than 20 cm of new snow.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

The new snow will bond poorly to underlying layers, with deeper slabs expected on northeast aspects due to wind loading.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Likely - Very Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2