Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 12th, 2014 8:28AM

The alpine rating is high, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is considerable. Known problems include Storm Slabs.

Avalanche Canada jlammers, Avalanche Canada

Summary

Confidence

Fair - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain on Thursday

Weather Forecast

Thursday: Moderate to locally heavy snowfall / Strong southwest winds / Freezing level at 500mFriday: Moderate snowfall / Strong southwest winds / Freezing level at 400mSaturday: Light snowfall / Moderate southwest winds / Freezing level at 500m

Avalanche Summary

Several natural and human triggered loose and storm slab avalanches to size 2 were reported on Tuesday. I expect ongoing storm slab avalanche activity with increasing size throughout the forecast period

Snowpack Summary

In some areas over 60cm of recent snowfall overlies a medley of old surfaces which include: weak surface facets, surface hoar, thin wind slabs, a scoured crust, or any combination thereof. Reports from the field indicate a poor bond between the new snow and these old surfaces with accounts of whumfing and easy, sudden planar snowpack tests. Strong winds and slight warming have added cohesion to the new storm slab, and have shifted the new snow into deeper, destructive wind slabs in exposed terrain. The mid and lower snowpack are generally strong and well-settled. Basal facets and depth hoar are likely to exist in some parts of the region, but triggering has become unlikely.

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs
A touchy and destructive storm slab, which is likely more reactive in wind-affected terrain, sits over a variety of weak surfaces. Conservative terrain selection is now critical.
The touchy conditions require extreme caution if traveling in the mountains.>Use conservative route selection, stick to moderate angled terrain with low consequence.>Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Likely - Very Likely

Expected Size

1 - 4

Valid until: Feb 13th, 2014 2:00PM