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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Mar 22nd, 2022–Mar 23rd, 2022
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Little Yoho.

Extensive avalanche control is planned in the Yoho and Highway 93 North areas on Wednesday, March 23.

Mount Stephen, Mount Field, Cathedral, Mount Hector, Noseeum Peak and Silverhorn/Observation Peak Closure Zones are in effect Wednesday, March 23.

Weather Forecast

Wednesday will be mainly cloudy with isolated flurries and moderate winds out of the west, freezing levels could reach as high as 2500m. A cold front will arrive in the area on Wednesday evening, freezing levels will lower back to valley bottom. Thursday will be a mix of sun and cloud with alpine temps up to -6.

Snowpack Summary

5-10cm of recent snow overlies old wind slabs in alpine and isolated areas at treeline. The recent snow has formed new soft wind slabs in lee alpine features. Surface snow is moist on sheltered solar aspects at all elevations, and below 1700m on all aspects. Several buried crusts exist on solar aspects and are found 30 to 80 cm deep.

Avalanche Summary

Natural cornice releases up to size 2.5 on all aspects and a skier triggered size 2 wind slab on an east aspect were reported on Monday. On Sunday, Bourgeau-Left waterfall (next to Sunshine gondola) released a large natural avalanche that ran over the waterfall and hit Healy Creek. This may have been triggered by a cornice or strong solar effect.

Confidence

Freezing levels are uncertain

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Last week's slabs are 30-50cm thick but are likely to only be reactive in steep features. Sunday's new slabs are thin, soft and isolated to immediate lees but will be sensitive. Expect all of these slabs to become more reactive with warming.

  • Pay attention to cornices which may fail as they are heated and could trigger larger avalanches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

Buried crust/facet layers exist in the upper snowpack on solar aspects and all aspects below 1800m. As the slabs overlying all of these crusts becomes heated, they will become much more sensitive to triggering. Wet slab activity may become possible.

  • Avoid travel on slopes where a crust is buried once the surface snow has become moist.
  • Be aware of the potential for wide propagations.

Aspects: South East, South, South West, West.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1.5 - 3

Loose Wet

As freezing levels rise, expect loose wet sluffs to become active first in lower elevation steep terrain, then progress higher. Depending on cloud cover and solar inputs, this may be intensified on steep solar slopes and solar cliffy terrain.

  • If triggered the loose wet sluffs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Treeline, Below Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2