Avalanche Forecast
Regions: Little Yoho.
Potential for large avalanches persist. Conservative route choices remain the theme of the day.
Weather Forecast
5-10 cm is possible on Sunday at higher elevations with freezing levels to 1700m and light SW winds. Another system Tuesday may bring 10 more cm if the forecast holds true...
Snowpack Summary
40-60 cm of snow in the past week combined with mod SW winds created windslabs on lee and crossloaded features. This rests on hard windslabs at treeline and above which overly a structurally weak mid-pack. Below 1900m a surface crust has formed from the previous rain and warming event on Thursday, and subsequent cooling.
Avalanche Summary
Several avalanches in the BYK region in the past 48 hrs, some stepping down to deep persistent layers and the ground. A rain event on Thursday triggered a loose wet cycle below 1900m in the Field area. With cooling over the last 2 days the natural activity has slowed and no new avalanches were reported in that area Saturday.
Confidence
Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Sunday
Avalanche Problems
Persistent Slabs
The recent snow has created a thick slab over several weak interfaces in the mid-pack. Dig down to see how the recent storm snow is bonding to the layer below, and choose conservative terrain features.
- Use conservative route selection, choose moderate angled and supported terrain with low consequence.
- Be aware of thin areas that may propogate to deeper instabilites.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood: Possible - Likely
Expected Size: 2 - 3
Wind Slabs
Recent snow and recent wind has created wind slabs in the alpine, which are slowly losing reactivity due to cooler temperatures.
- If triggered the storm/wind slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.
Elevations: Alpine.
Likelihood: Possible
Expected Size: 1 - 2