Avalanche Forecast
Regions: North Okanagan, Shuswap, South Okanagan.
The snowpack is untrustworthy after going through dramatic weather fluctuations. Conservative low angle routes are recommended.
Confidence
Low
Avalanche Summary
Warm weather on Wednesday likely triggered wet avalanches, as reports from Tuesday included several size 1 wet loose avalanches across the region.
As temperatures cool on Thursday, a mix of wet and dry avalanches are expected.
Snowpack Summary
As freezing levels drop on Thursday, rain will transition to snow. Snowfall amounts will depend on the timing of the cooling, but expect 10 to 20 cm by the end of the day.
This new snow will land on a thick layer of wet, rain-soaked snow.
Deeper in the snowpack, a melt-freeze crust from early March sits 40 to 70 cm deep. Below that, two weak layers of surface hoar and/or faceted grains associated with crusts from late January and mid-February may be found 70 to 120 cm deep. We do not have reports of recent avalanches on these layers.
Weather Summary
Wednesday Night
Cloudy with 5 to 10 mm of rain. 20 km/h southeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature +2 °C. Freezing level 2500 m.
Thursday
Cloudy with rain transitioning to snow, totalling 15 to 25 mm/cm. 30 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 0 °C. Freezing level dropping from 2500 to 1700 m.
Friday
Mostly cloudy with 5 cm of snow. 30 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -1 °C. Freezing level 1800 m.
Saturday
Mix of sun and cloud with 0 to 10 cm of snow. 10 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -2 °C. Freezing level 1500 m.
More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.
Terrain and Travel Advice
- Use conservative route selection. Choose simple, low angle terrain with no overhead hazard.
- Dial back your terrain choices if you are seeing more than 20 cm of new snow.
- A moist or wet snow surface, pinwheeling, and natural avalanches are all indicators of a weakening snowpack.
Avalanche Problems
Storm Slabs
New snow at higher elevations will form fresh slabs.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Likely
Expected Size: 1 - 2
Loose Wet
The wet saturated snowpack could produce wet avalanches in steep terrain, especially during periods of rain.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood: Possible
Expected Size: 1 - 2