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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Apr 24th, 2014–Apr 25th, 2014
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: South Columbia.

Avalanche danger can rise quickly with daytime warming and solar radiation. Be aware of changing conditions and overhead hazards.

Confidence

Poor - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

Synopsis: Unsettled weather will persist throughout the forecast period as a series of fronts slowly moves across the province.Tonight and Friday: Flurries with total accumulations of 5-10cm / light southeasterly winds / Freezing levels 2000mSaturday: Flurries / Light southerly winds / Freezing levels 1800m.Sunday: Flurries /Light southwesterly winds / Freezing levels 1800-2000m.

Avalanche Summary

Expect loose wet avalanches in steep terrain if it is raining or during sunny periods, especially if the sun or rain is affecting fresh snow. Spring squalls may bring locally heavy precipitation and new storm or wind slabs may develop in higher terrain if you see significant new snow accumulation.  Cornices collapses have been reported during periods of daytime warming. Occasionally these heavy triggers have caused large deep slab avalanches on the slopes below.

Snowpack Summary

This is a broad general summary of conditions in the region. This summary is based on limited field data and should be supplemented with local observations to help assess avalanche danger.Over the past week or so the Columbias have seen moderate amounts of new snow mixed with showers or periods of rain below 1600-1800 m. Southerly winds have likely formed pockets of wind slab at higher elevations in lee of ridges and terrain features. The upper snowpack generally consists of layers of moist and/or dry snow mixed with several well bonded crusts. Below 1300-1500 m most areas are likely below threshold for avalanches depending on aspect.- The mid-March sun crust/surface hoar layer down 50-80cm and the early-March crust/facet/surface hoar layer down around 80-120cm seem to be inactive.- The mid-February crust/facet/surface hoar combo is typically down 150 - 200cm. Human triggered avalanches on this layer are unlikely. Larger triggers such as cornice fall, a smaller avalanche in motion or prolonged warming could wake this layer up, resulting in very large and destructive avalanche.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Moderate winds have redistributed recent snow and wind slabs may be found in lee features on North through East aspects. Below 2200m these slabs may be sitting on a recent melt freeze crust.
Be careful with wind loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and roll-overs.>The new snow will require several days to settle and stabilize.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 3

Loose Wet

Expect loose wet avalanches in steep terrain if it is raining or during sunny periods, especially if the sun or rain is affecting fresh snow.
Avoid sun exposed slopes when the solar radiation is strong, especially if snow is moist or wet.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 3