Avalanche Forecast

Poor - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather is uncertain for the entire period

Sunday: Increasing cloud with a chance of flurries late in the day. The freezing level climbs to 1500 m during the day. Winds are moderate from the west-southwest. Monday: Sunny breaks and a chance of flurries. Temperatures are a degree or two cooler with the freezing level around 1000 m. Winds ease to light from the northwest. Tuesday: Moderate snow. The freezing level could rise to around 1600 m and winds increase to moderate or strong from the southwest.

Loose snow sluffing continues in steep terrain on all aspects. On Thursday there was a report from the Central Selkirks of a chunk of snow that fell out of some cliffy terrain at treeline which triggered and propagated three progressively deeper slabs resulting in a size 2.5 avalanche sliding on the February 12th weak layer down about 100 cm.

A fairly widespread layer of surface hoar, mixed with a dusting of new snow in some areas, is sitting above various sun crusts and old storm slabs. The storm slab continues to settle, and is becoming more stubborn to trigger. The weak layer of surface hoar that was buried on February 12th is now down about 100-150 cm and continues to be triggered by light additional loads on Southerly aspects where it is sitting on an old sun crust. Larger loads like cornice fall or explosives have been able to trigger this layer on various aspects in the alpine and at treeline. If the we get a period of strong solar radiation, then we may see another cycle of natural activity on Southerly aspects resulting in large destructive avalanches.