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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 10th, 2016–Dec 11th, 2016

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Jasper.

Weather Forecast

Alpine high of -14, light west winds with a mix of sun and cloud for Sunday. Monday morning temps are expected to have dropped back to -30 with an Alpine high of -25, brrrr.

Snowpack Summary

10mm surface hoar growth in the Parker Ridge area, with some feathers up to 50mm. Cold temps and a shallow snowpack are promoting faceting. Nov12 crust down 45 to 90cm and found between 2100-2600m on all aspects. Facet growth above and below crust which has been the failure plain for several avalanches in the Columbia Icefields area two days ago.

Avalanche Summary

Road patrol yesterday on the Icefields Parkway observed 3 significant slab releases up to size 2. These were likely triggered from a combination of solar input triggering a point release from steep exposed rocks and hitting the slope below triggering a slab.

Confidence

Problems

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.