Extra caution is still required around and below cornices. Avoid sun-exposed slopes if the sun makes an appearance on Sunday.
Confidence
Moderate - Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Sunday
Weather Forecast
Increased cloud will develop throughout Sunday with 10-20cm of new snow expected between Sunday night and Monday morning. A mix of sun and cloud and occasional light flurries are forecast for the rest of the period.Ridgetop winds should be moderate from the southwest with Sunday night's system and then become light. Freezing levels should sit at 2000m on Sunday, 1600m on Monday and 1500m on Tuesday.
Avalanche Summary
In recent days, loose wet avalanches up to size 2.5 and cornice releases up to size 3 were reported. Cooling temperatures on the weekend will mean that natural sluffing and cornice releases will become less likely, but with all the heat in the snowpack, it will still be possible for human-triggering of cornices and sluffing. These problems may linger until the region gets a substantial refreeze and a widespread crust forms on the snow surface.
Snowpack Summary
A moist/wet snow surface is reported to be widespread to mountaintops except for shaded true north aspects above 2200m. The last few nights have seen some limited overnight crust formation which has quickly broken down the following morning. With freezing levels dropping on Saturday, a surface crust has likely formed at higher elevations and hasn't completely broken down during the day. Large cornices are lingering and are expected to remain weak until there is a substantial period of cooling. Below the snow surface, the mid snowpack is generally well-settled throughout with no notable persistent weaknesses.
Problems
Cornices
Cornice Fall is the release of an overhanging mass of snow that forms as the wind moves snow over a sharp terrain feature, such as a ridge, and deposits snow on the downwind (leeward) side. Cornices range in size from small wind drifts of soft snow to large overhangs of hard snow that are 30 feet (10 meters) or taller. They can break off the terrain suddenly and pull back onto the ridge top and catch people by surprise even on the flat ground above the slope. Even small cornices can have enough mass to be destructive and deadly. Cornice Fall can entrain loose surface snow or trigger slab avalanches.
Loose Wet
Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.