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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Nov 18th, 2013–Nov 19th, 2013

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Continuing light snowfall and moderate to strong W-SW winds will maintain a slow steady increase in Avalanche Danger.  Lots of early season hazards to travel cautiously.  Getting much colder again by midweek - days are short and the nights are long.

Confidence

Fair - Intensity of incoming weather is uncertain on Tuesday

Weather Forecast

An arctic air mass is sitting over most of the province.  A low pressure system developing along the arctic front will continue to produce light snow.  Westerly wind values will be in the moderate to strong range.  Colder arctic air will slip southwards dropping temps over the next 48 hours but light snowfalls and mod-strong winds will persist in our forecast area on Tuesday with temperatures dropping to -20 at least on Wednesday.

Avalanche Summary

Limited obs due to obscured conditions.

Snowpack Summary

Fresh new wind slabs forming along ridge crests and in gully features due to redistribution by wind action.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.