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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 25th, 2015–Jan 26th, 2015

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Unusual conditions for late January with a "Spring" feel. Warm and sunny conditions on Monday will increase the avalanche danger through the day, especially on solar aspects. Recent wind loading has also created touchy wind slabs.

Confidence

Fair

Weather Forecast

Very strong winds will continue into Monday. Sunny skies and warm temperatures are expected with the freezing level climbing to 2300m.

Avalanche Summary

A naturally triggered avalanche cycle is occurring, due to either wind loading or solar/warming triggers. A few slab avalanches up to size 2.0 were observed at Treeline elevations on mostly E and NE aspects with one exception on a W aspect. These have been triggered by wind loading in the past 24 to 48hrs. Several loose wet avalanches up to size 1.5 occurred today on all aspects except North due to very warm temperatures and periodic bursts of intense solar radiation. North aspects below 2300m did exhibit some snowballing.

Snowpack Summary

Extreme West to South-West winds are moving significant amounts of snow to lee aspects at Treeline and above. Wind slab formation is on-going. A few slab avalanches were observed today and are associated with this wind-loading. Moist snow is found up to 2300m on all aspects and much higher on solar aspects. Temperatures reached well above the freezing mark at Treeline today and snowballing and small loose wet slides were observed on all aspects. The Jan 16th surface hoar and the Dec crust layers are still cause for concern, as is the Nov facets. The snowpack is settling rapidly.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.