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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Apr 1st, 2014–Apr 2nd, 2014

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Still some great skiing but watch out for thin new crusts forming on sun exposed terrain.  Not a great deal of natural avalanche activity but it seems as if every day there is at least one new large event occurring - most originating at treeline.

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

Wednesday - alpine t3emps near -7 deg.  Winds light from NW and a mix os sun and cloud with some light convective flurries.  A small wave of new precip looks like it will hit the area by Friday.

Avalanche Summary

Not a lot of new activity however there was one new natural Size 3.5 on along Pocaterra Ridge which ran to the middle of the runout zone jumping one hump and clearing timber from it and along the edge as well. Evidence of several other Size 2-3 over past several days in seldom visited areas - some of these started in thin rocky areas along ridgetops and picked up significant volume as they moved downslope

Snowpack Summary

Some solar influences late in PM on steep sun exposed slopes with moist snow down 10cm. Recent storm snow settling with warming temps in PM. Consistently finding hard shears on the Feb 10 down 90-130cm - the shears are still sudden planar when they occur.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.