Avalanche forecast

Moab

Utah Avalanche Center
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Avalanche danger

  • Alpine
  • Treeline
  • Below treeline
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Out of date — this forecast expired 2 years ago. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Highlights

The overall avalanche danger is MODERATE. Your primary concern today is soft slabs of wind-drifted snow that will be sensitive to the weight of skiers and riders. Fresh drifts will be found on all aspects above treeline, and near treeline on slopes that face NW-N-NE-E. The new snow is poorly bonded to hard slick crusts on many slopes, and dry-loose avalanches and shallow soft slab avalanches in the new snow are possible in steep terrain.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    2

    With more than 6" of new snow available for transport, Moderate winds out of the Northwest will have no trouble blowing and drifting snow into sensitive soft slabs. Look for reactive drifts near and above treeline today. Last week's string of warm, sunny weather left a variety of slick crusts on most aspects. These slick crusts make great bed surfaces, and because of this, I anticipate the recent wind slabs to be particularly sensitive.

    The new snow is also poorly bonded to these slick crusts. Yesterday we experienced sluffing in steep terrain, and I would expect more of the same today. In isolated areas, the new snow is cohesive enough to fail as a soft slab avalanche. It is possible to trigger shallow soft slabs involving the new snow in steep terrain today.

Special Announcement

Road Conditions: The Geyser Pass Road is not plowed and you will find about 6" of snow on the road. 4x4 and good tires are recommended.

Grooming: Ben groomed on Sunday

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Recent Activity

Travis Nauman and his party watched this natural avalanche involving wind-drifted snow come down out of the chute above Lone Pine. Skier-triggered slides of similar size and depth remain possible today.

My party triggered this small soft slab avalanche involving the new snow in Corkscrew Glades

Snow and Weather

6:00 a.m. Snow and Weather Data

24 Hour Snow 8" 72 Hour Snow 8" Season Total Snow 176" Depth at Gold Basin 65"

Winds on Pre-Laurel Peak: NW 8-11 Temp 17° F Percent of Normal: 125%

Weather

Unsettled Northwest flow will keep temperatures below normal with chances for light snow showers lingering through today and tomorrow. This morning, under cloudy skies, it is 17 degrees in Gold Basin. It will feel like winter up there today, with high temperatures around 20 degrees. Winds will blow 20-30 mph out of the NNW. Light snow showers may give us another 1-3 inches of snow by tomorrow. This system will move out Tuesday night, and Wednesday will be mostly sunny. Below normal temps will hang on through mid-week with a warming trend into the weekend. The next storm looks to impact the area late this weekend into early next week.

General Conditions

The mountains got a much needed refresh yesterday, and we found great skiing and riding in sheltered, northerly, mid-elevation terrain yesterday. Be sure to check out Charlie's report of our day in Corkscrew Glades. Travis Nauman and company got up a bit higher, and reported blowing and drifting snow, small natural avalanches, and great skiing in north facing terrain. Be sure to read their report here. The Gold Basin SNOTEL is reporting 0.7" of SWE. Yesterday the snow totals seemed to be dependent on elevation, with more snow up high. A couple of inches trickled in after the closing bell, and totals are around 6 to 9 inches across the range. Your primary avalanche concern today is soft slabs of wind-drifted snow near treeline and above. The winds will continue to blow and drift snow today and fresh slabs will continue to form.

Snowpack and Weather Data

Gold Basin Storm Stake (10,000')

Gold Basin SNOTEL site (10,000')

SNOTEL site near Geyser Pass Winter Trailhead (9600')

Wind Station on Pre-Laurel Peak (11,400')

NWS forecast for the La Sal Mountains.

Additional Info

Want some more insight into the La Sal Mountains as well as the communal impacts of a tragic avalanche? Check out the latest UAC podcast with forecaster Eric Trenbeath where he discusses the range, it's often treacherous snowpack, and how the devastating avalanche in February, 1992, affected the Moab community.

Our avalanche beacon checker sign and beacon training park are up and running. A huge thanks to Talking Mountain Yurts for sponsoring those this season!

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General Announcements

This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.

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