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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 30th, 2013–Jan 31st, 2013

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Cariboos.

Confidence

Fair - Timing or intensity of solar radiation is uncertain on Saturday

Weather Forecast

Overnight and Thursday: The Northwest flow is expected to continue to push the cold arctic air to the East. Northwest winds moderate overnight becoming light Westerly. No precipitation is expected tonight, and light snow falls of 5-8 cms are expected on Thursday. Alpine temperatures gradually warming on Thursday and freezing levels rising to about 1300 metres.Friday: No precipitation is expected as a high pressure system in the South influences most of the interior mountain ranges. Expect high cloud or broken skies. Freezing level at about 800 metres.Saturday: High pressure should continue to influence. No precipitation expected, and freezing level at about 1000 metres.

Avalanche Summary

One natural slab avalanche size 1.5 was reported that was about 30 cms deep.

Snowpack Summary

Some areas in the Northern parts of the region received another 20-25 cms of dry light snow. The variable surfaces that were left behind by the end of the snow drought on January 23rd are now buried by 50-80 cms of incremental storm snow. In some areas the storm snow has settled into a 30 cm layer that may be reactive where it sits above a weak layer of old surface hoar or facets that grew during the drought. There is a lot of loose snow available for transport if the winds develop into strong values.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.