New snow is expected for tonight & tomorrow. Even so, watch for a "greenhouse" effect with the variable cloud cover. This solar input could rapidly destabilize the snow.
Weather Forecast
Scattered flurries tonight with up to 9cm expected. Tomorrow will see another 11cm hopefully. Alpine winds will be light for the next 24hours. Tomorrow's freezing levels will creep up to 1900m with mostly cloud cover. The cooling trend will continue for the next few days.
Avalanche Summary
Nothing new today (as of 1300hrs), but loose wet avalanches were likely at low elevations or steep solar slopes later in the day.
Snowpack Summary
Last night saw up to 7cm of new snow across the forecast region. Higher temperatures than expected today quickly settled that new snow. In general, the snowpack lost 2cm in height, but lower elevations likely lost more than that. Late afternoon heat made for moist snow up to 2300m, and higher on solar aspects. Despite the warm weather, snow was wind blown in the alpine. Pockets of windslabs will continue to grow as the winds keep up. The new slabs will be somewhat random in terms of aspect and location. Winds appeared to be variable. A few cornice collapses were noted today with cornice growth ongoing.
Problems
Deep Persistent Slabs
Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.
Loose Wet
Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.
Wind Slabs
Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.