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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Apr 5th, 2015–Apr 6th, 2015

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Watch for the sun poking through the clouds at this time of year.  Radiation from the sun can quickly decrease stability.  These decreases are most apparent on steep, thin solar aspects so keep a eye (or two) looking up.  Happy Easter.

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

Temperatures will remain cool on Monday with freezing levels around 1800m.  A mix of sun and cloud is forecast again so keep a keen eye on the sun as its packs a punch these days.  No new snow is forecast and winds will be out of the east in the moderate range (26-40km/hr).

Avalanche Summary

Extensive sluffing up to sz 1.5 out of steeper terrain. Moist releases later in the day up to sz 2 on solar aspects. 

Snowpack Summary

20-30cm recent HN24 (24 hour snowfall total)  with very little wind affect.  This new snow is overlying a variety of other surface from crusts (on most aspects below 2200m and southern aspects up to the peaks) and cold dry powder snow on northern alpine aspects.  Moist snow in the afternoon on solar aspects and on all aspects below 1900m.  New snow sluffs easily from steeper terrain. 

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.