Persistent Slabs
- Alpine
- Treeline
- Below treeline
- Likelihood
- Possible
- Size
- 3
Steep, rocky terrain should still be avoided in the mid to upper elevations on northwest to east facing slopes. The additional wind loading will add stress to the poor structure and it is possible that skiers, snowmobiles, and cornice-fall, etc, in the right spot may trigger a devastating avalanche. Danger Trend: Steady to Increasing Currently, there is a very strong slab of snow sitting on top of weaker (faceted) snow at the base of the snowpack. When it comes to avalanches we need two things: Initiation and propagation. While the extended column test (ECT) remains the bread and butter test for the backcountry travelers we are now starting to see ECT scores that show no results (no propagation) across the buried weak layer. The ECT test is one of the best tests to perform on the snowpack as it shows both initiation and propagation while performing the test. However, it has one weakness, when the slab becomes very strong it can be very hard to initiate the weak layer by hitting the top of the shovel blade. Just as we are riding across the snow surface it's hard for our weight to effect the weak layer.
Initiation or triggers can come in many forms: Loading (adding weight) by wind or snow, skiers, snowboarders, cornices, explosive, to name a few.
The Propagation Saw Test (PST) only tests propagation of the weak layer (no initiation). In the video below you can see the weak layer propagate up the column followed by the slab of snow crashing down. What does all this mean? well, if you are unlucky enough to initiate or trigger the avalanche it's clear to me that you can still propagate a crack through the weak layer and cause a very large and deadly avalanche. The probability is low, but the consequence is high.
Video: Propagation Saw Test - showing the weak layer and slab.