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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 20th, 2012–Dec 21st, 2012

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Glacier.

Winds are forecast to rise today. Be cautious of wind slabs forming rapidly near ridge crests when these winds arrive.

Weather Forecast

A deep low off the coast of Vancouver Island with cool air at core brings cool temps and light impulses of precipitation for the next 4 days.

Snowpack Summary

At treeline and above, soft windslabs have formed due to 30-50k winds at ridgelines. Elsewhere, 40cm of loose storm snow overlies a well settled snowpack. The Nov28 surface hoar is down about 80cm but only in some locations. The early Nov crust is widespread and down about 1.5m. Tests on these layers indicate they would be hard to trigger.

Avalanche Summary

Yesterday No new avalanches were observed in Glacier National Park.

Confidence

Wind speed and direction is uncertain

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.