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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 17th, 2015–Jan 18th, 2015

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.

Regions

Glacier.

Newly formed wind slabs will be reactive today.

Weather Forecast

Strong SW winds are expected to continue today with trace amounts of precipitation.  A strong cold front associated with a deepening low pressure system will be moving into the area later tonight. Precipitation amounts are forecasted to be 5-10cm tonight and up to 20cm tomorrow. Avalanche hazard will increase with the new snow and sustained winds.

Snowpack Summary

20cm of new snow was exposed to strong overnight winds. In addition to a developing storm slab, expect a thicker wind slab on leeward micro features and N-NE aspects. The January 15 surface hoar layer down 15-25cm is widespread and sits on a crust on solar aspects. A cohesive slab sits on top of the Dec 17 surface hoar layer (down 70-120cm).

Avalanche Summary

Several large natural avalanches were observed yesterday during in paths facing the highway corridor. This avalanche cycle was a result of a developing storm slab in recent new snow.

Confidence

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.