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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Nov 21st, 2018–Nov 22nd, 2018

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Watch for pockets of hard windslabs in alpine terrain and in gullied areas.

Confidence

Moderate -

Weather Forecast

Forecasts are calling for light snow beginning later in the day on Thursday and temperatures in the -4 daytime high range.  Total precip amount are only forecast to be around 5cm of new snow.

Avalanche Summary

No new natural avalanche activity was observed. 

Snowpack Summary

Not much is changing out there right now.  Surface hoar is developing on the surface of the snowpack up to treeline to 4mm.  Pockets of hard slab should be expected in gullied features and in the alpine along ridgelines.  Overall the snowpack is shallow and facetted and lower than normal for this time of year.  The Oct 26th crust is our prime layer of concern down 30-50cm. 

Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.