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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 3rd, 2026–Feb 4th, 2026

Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Cariboos, South Columbia, Blue River, Esplanade, Jordan, North Monashee, North Selkirk, West Purcell, Badshot-Battle, Central Selkirk, Goat, Gold, Valhalla, Whatshan.

Warming, solar radiation and a buried weak layer are driving the avalanche danger to HIGH.
Check out our latest video conditions update here.

Confidence

Moderate

  • We are uncertain due to how buried persistent weak layers will react with the forecast weather.
  • We are uncertain due to the timing or intensity of warming will affect the snowpack.

Avalanche Summary

Numerous rider-triggered and remote-triggered avalanches (size 2) continue to be reported. These avalanches released on the late January surface hoar layer/crust mentioned in the snowpack summary.

Natural avalanche activity will spike with solar radiation and warming to mountain top on Wednesday.

Snowpack Summary

Freezing levels rising to the mountain top will likely turn snow surfaces moist at upper elevations and wet below.

In the alpine, isolated wind slabs exist on northeast aspects. A persistent slab 30 to 50 cm thick sits above the late January surface hoar/facet/ crust layer. It has shown signs of reactivity in the past 4 days, especially in sheltered treeline features.

The mid and lower snowpack is well settled.

Weather Summary

Tuesday Night
Mostly cloudy. 1 cm of snow. 50 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -2 °C. Freezing level 1600 m.

Wednesday
Mostly cloudy. 50 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 0 °C. Freezing level 2700 m.

Thursday
Mostly sunny. 40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 2 °C. Freezing level 2900 m.

Friday
Mostly sunny. 40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 2 °C. Freezing level 2800 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Avoid exposure to overhead avalanche terrain; avalanches may run surprisingly far.
  • Keep in mind that the high density of wet avalanches can make them destructive.
  • The more the snowpack warms up and weakens, the more conservative your terrain selection should be.
  • Stay away from steep slopes, open slopes, and convex rolls at and below treeline where weak layers may be preserved.
  • Avoid travelling on slopes below cornices.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.