Snowfall amounts will vary throughout the region Tuesday. The danger rating reflects forecast snowfall for the Coquihalla. In areas that receive less than 15 cm, avalanche danger may be a step lower. Make observations and assess conditions as you travel.
Portions of the north of the region (e.g. Duffey, Hurley) have a a weak layer of faceted grains above a hard melt-freeze crust that is found 30 to 60 cm below the snow surface. A few avalanches slid on it last week, with more activity observed in the neighbouring Sea to Sky region. It has been most problematic on north to northeast aspects around 1900 m to 2100 m.
Fresh storm slabs may be touchy and propagate widely if they bond poorly to the old surface.
In the north of the region where less snow is expected, the problem will be specific to wind loaded aspects at upper elevations.
Monday night: Snowfall 5-15 cm, 30-50 km/h southwest wind, alpine temperature -5 C. Freezing level 1300 m.
Tuesday: Snowfall 5-10 cm in the north, 10-20 cm in the south, 40-50 km/h southwest wind, alpine temperature -5 C. Freezing level 1500m.
Wednesday: Overnight snowfall 5-10 cm then mostly cloudy, 20-30 km/h southwest wind, treeline temperature -5 C. Freezing level 1400 m.
Thursday: Snowfall starting around 5 cm, 20-30 km/h south wind, treeline temperature -4 C. Freezing level 1500 m.
No new avalanche observations since Wednesday when a rider triggered a persistent slab avalanche along the Duffey at 2000 m on a northeast aspect. Another suspected persistent slab avalanche was triggered by a rider on Tuesday in the north of the region. Both slabs were around 30 to 40 cm thick, resulting in small avalanches (size 1 to 1.5). It remains possible that humans could trigger this layer, where it exists.
New snow accumulates over variable surfaces including a hard melt-freeze crust on solar aspects and low elevations, previously wind-affected snow at higher elevations and perhaps a thin layer of surface hoar or faceted snow in sheltered areas.
Around 30 to 60 cm deep, sugary faceted grains may be found around a melt-freeze crust that formed February in the north of the region (e.g., Duffey, Hurley). The layer has been most prevalent on north to northeast aspects around 1900 to 2100 m. Check out this forecaster blog for more info.
Various crusts may be found in the south of the region (e.g., Coquihalla, Manning) but reports suggest they are bonding to the snowpack and are not an avalanche concern.
There are no deeper concerns at this time.
