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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 16th, 2026–Jan 17th, 2026

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

North Columbia, McBride, Premier, Quesnel, Sugarbowl, Clemina, Kakwa, McGregor, Pine Pass, Renshaw, Robson.

Warm temperatures and sun are forecast for the alpine on Saturday 😎

Avoid cornices and limit exposure to slopes that become moist or wet.

Confidence

Moderate

  • Uncertainty is due to the timing or intensity of solar radiation and its effect on the snowpack.

Avalanche Summary

During the first half of the week, large avalanches were reported in the region, including natural storm slabs and full depth glide slab avalanches up to size 3. Avalanche activity has largely tapered off since Wednesday.

Snowpack Summary

A widespread melt-freeze crust extends up to at least 2200 m. In the high alpine, dry snow is wind affected and firm. Sun and warm temperatures on Saturday are likely to moisten dry snow and soften crusts, especially on steep south-facing slopes. Large, overhanging cornices linger.

The prominent mid-December facet/crust layer is buried over 1 m deep and extends up to 2200 m. Triggering the crust is considered unlikely, except with large loads or in thin snowpack areas.

Weather Summary

Friday Night
Mostly clear skies. 30 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -2 °C.

Saturday
Mostly sunny. 30 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -1 °C. Above freezing layer 2000 to 3000 m.

Sunday
Sunny. 30 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -4 °C. Freezing level valley bottom.

Monday
Mostly sunny. 30 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -3 °C. Freezing level valley bottom.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Avalanche activity is unlikely when a thick melt-freeze crust is present on the snow surface.
  • Limit exposure to steep, sun exposed slopes, especially when the solar radiation is strong.
  • Pay attention to cornices and give them a wide berth when traveling on or below ridges.
  • Carefully evaluate steep lines for wind slabs.

Problems

Cornices

Cornice Fall is the release of an overhanging mass of snow that forms as the wind moves snow over a sharp terrain feature, such as a ridge, and deposits snow on the downwind (leeward) side. Cornices range in size from small wind drifts of soft snow to large overhangs of hard snow that are 30 feet (10 meters) or taller. They can break off the terrain suddenly and pull back onto the ridge top and catch people by surprise even on the flat ground above the slope. Even small cornices can have enough mass to be destructive and deadly. Cornice Fall can entrain loose surface snow or trigger slab avalanches.