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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 15th, 2026–Jan 16th, 2026

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

North Columbia, McBride, Premier, Quesnel, Sugarbowl, Clemina, Kakwa, McGregor, Pine Pass, Renshaw, Robson.

Where dry snow exists in the alpine, watch for reactive wind slab in leeward terrain features.

A surface crust will create challenging travel conditions.

Confidence

Moderate

  • Confidence is due to a stable weather pattern with little change expected.

Avalanche Summary

On Wednesday, reports from the region saw natural storm slab avalanches up to (size 2.5), a few cornice falls that triggered persistent slabs up to (size 3) from the slopes below.

With a cooling and drying trend on Friday, we expect avalanche activity to taper significantly until warmer weather arrives for the weekend.

Snowpack Summary

A 1–3 cm thick melt-freeze surface crust will likely be present on all aspects up to 2200 m, becoming thicker and more supportive at lower elevations below 1800 m. When the sun comes out, steep sun-exposed slopes may soften. In the alpine, where dry snow persists, expect isolated pockets of wind slab and wind-affected snow surfaces. Large, overhanging cornices linger.

The prominent mid-December facet/crust layer is buried over 1 m deep and extends up to 2200 m. Triggering the crust is considered unlikely, except with large loads or in thin snowpack areas.

Weather Summary

Thursday Night
Clear skies. 20 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -5 °C. Freezing level valley bottom.

Friday
Mix of sun and cloud. 20 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -3 °C. Freezing level valley bottom.

Saturday
Mix of sun and cloud. 20 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 0 °C. Alpine temperature 2 °C. Freezing level 1000 m. Strong alpine temperature inversion.

Sunday
Sunny. 20 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -2 °C. Alpine temperature 0 °C. Freezing level 1000 m.



More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Avoid steep, rocky, and wind-affected areas where triggering slabs is more likely.
  • Wind slabs are isolated, but may remain reactive.
  • Avalanche activity is unlikely when a thick melt-freeze crust is present on the snow surface.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.