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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 14th, 2019–Jan 15th, 2019

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

South Coast Inland.

One last day of warmth. Use caution around cornices and steep slopes until the temperatures drop. Avalanche danger is considerable in the far north of the region.

Confidence

Moderate -

Weather Forecast

MONDAY NIGHT: Clear with cloudy periods. Freezing level below 1300 m, temperature inversion with cooler air in the valleys. Alpine high near +3. Light winds. TUESDAY: Sunny and warm. Freezing level below 1500 m, temperature inversion. Alpine high near +3. Light southeast winds. WEDNESDAY: Mix of sun and cloud. Freezing level near 1400 m. Alpine high near -2. Light winds. THURSDAY: Cloudy with flurries, 5-10 cm. Freezing level below 1400 m. Alpine high near -3. Light to moderate south-southeast winds.More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Avalanche Summary

One very large (size 3) natural slab avalanche was observed on Chipmunk Mountain near Pemberton. This avalanche occurred either Friday or Saturday on a north aspect between 1600-1950 m in un-skiable terrain.Size 1-2 loose wet avalanches were reported on Saturday and Sunday.Small cornice falls were observed near the Coquihalla on Saturday, and on Sunday cornices were triggered by explosives near Duffey Lake. In the neighboring Sea to Sky region, several large cornice falls have occurred during the warm spell - beware if you are in cornice country.

Snowpack Summary

Due to warming, cornices are likely to be weak if you encounter them. Melt-freeze crusts are likely on south aspects, and on all aspects below about 1900 m. A limited overnight freeze is expected, so crusts may break down quickly with daytime warming, potentially leading to loose wet avalanche conditions.Warmth has promoted settlement of the snowpack and helped bond old wind slabs. At alpine at sheltered treeline elevations, variable areas of wind slabs and dry snow may be found. However, a generally well-settled upper snowpack is reported, with supportive crusts in the upper snowpack that are isolating deeper snowpack weaknesses. Most of our observations come from the Duffey Lake and Coquihalla regions, so if you are venturing further afield, the local snowpack may not be as strong. Please investigate.There remains a small chance of triggering a deeply buried crust/facet layer with a heavy trigger such as a cornice fall, or from a thin spot.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.