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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 6th, 2019–Feb 7th, 2019

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

South Coast.

Stiff wind slabs could be reactive to human triggers at upper elevations.

Confidence

High - The weather pattern is stable on Thursday

Weather Forecast

Increasing cloud cover and light snowfall amounts are forecast with the incoming weather system. Thursday: Cloudy with sunny periods and isolated flurries. Treeline temperatures near -5 with light ridgetop winds from the northwest.Friday: Cloudy with snow amounts 5-10 cm. Treeline temperatures near -6 and ridgetop winds moderate from the northeast. Saturday: A mix of sun and cloud. Treeline temperatures near -8 and ridgetop winds moderate from the northeast.

Avalanche Summary

On Monday, a MIN report from Mt. Anif showed substantial wind loading and a reactive wind slab problem at treeline and alpine elevations. Check it out HERE. Loose dry sluffing from steeper terrain features up to size 1.

Snowpack Summary

In the alpine, 40-60 cm of storm snow fell last weekend and sits above a crust or heavily wind affected old snow surfaces. Strong outflow winds have redistributed and formed isolated wind slabs at most elevations. Loose dry sluffing within the recent snow can be found in steeper terrain features. At treeline elevation and below 5-10 cm of snow from last weekend now sits on a supportive crust and feathery surface hoar crystals are forming on the surface. The mid-pack is well-settled and strong.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.