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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Nov 19th, 2016–Nov 20th, 2016

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.

Regions

Glacier.

Expect early season hazards at all elevations and tricky travel below treeline. Give extra time at the end of the day for rocky ski outs!

Weather Forecast

A weak pacific frontal system arrives today spreading light precipitation to Rogers Pass with trace amounts of accumulation. Winds will be south 10-30 km/h. Freezing levels are expected to rise to 1600m this afternoon with an alpine high of -5.

Snowpack Summary

35-55cm of new snow covers a supportive crust (Nov 13) with a moist near-isothermal snowpack below. Previous winds have transported this new snow and formed reactive soft slabs in lee features at ridge top. Below 1900m snow depths are less than 50cm with many early season hazards (rocks, trees & open creeks!) lurking at or just below the surface.

Avalanche Summary

A natural cornice triggered avalanche, size 2.0, was reported yesterday off the shoulder of Video Peak in the Connaught Creek drainage.

Confidence

Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.