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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 12th, 2026–Feb 13th, 2026

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Cariboos, South Columbia, Blue River, Clearwater, Esplanade, Jordan, North Monashee, North Selkirk, West Purcell, Badshot-Battle, Central Selkirk, Goat, Gold.

Reactive persistent weak layers, combined with newly forming storm slabs, are keeping avalanche danger considerable at all elevations.

Stick to conservative terrain choices.

Confidence

Moderate

  • We are confident that there are persistent slabs in the snowpack, but uncertain about how likely they are to trigger.

Avalanche Summary

In the past few days, there have been numerous reports of natural, skier-triggered and remote-triggered avalanches across the region up to size 3. Many of these avalanches failed on, or stepped down to, the late January persistent weak layer. See photos below for some recent examples.

With more new snow and wind in the forecast, potentially burying another surface hoar layer, we expect the danger to stay elevated for several more days at least.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 20 cm of forecast new snow may bury a new layer of surface hoar or sun crust, making storm slabs more reactive than usual. The heaviest snowfall is expected in the north, with much less in the south.

Below that, 15 to 40 cm of settling storm snow may be covering a second reactive layer of surface hoar or a crust from Feb 7th.

Lastly, the late January persistent weak layer of surface hoar/facets/crust, is buried 40 to 80 cm, except near Blue River, where it is over 100 cm deep. This layer has surprised people with its reactivity over the past week, especially in sheltered treeline features.

The remaining snowpack has no layers of concern

Weather Summary

Thursday Night

Mostly cloudy. 2 to 10 cm of snow. 40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -5 °C.

Friday

Cloudy. 2 to 15 cm of snow. 30 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -6 °C.

Saturday

Mostly cloudy. 5 to 20 cm of snow. 30 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -6 °C.

Sunday

Mix of sun and clouds. 0 to 5 cm of snow. 30 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -8 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Storm slabs in motion may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.
  • Remote triggering is a concern; avoid terrain where triggering overhead slopes is possible.
  • Approach steep and open slopes at and below treeline cautiously, as buried surface hoar may exist.
  • Be especially cautious as you transition into wind-affected terrain.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.